Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$27.88+4.50%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MBUU
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $28 MBUU trades at 18× p/e, in line with its 17× p/e peer median, and our $29 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $40.67 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $6.50 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $31.21 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $31.36 | 14.9 | 2.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 220% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 13.4 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.75/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $27.03 |
| 17.3 |
| 1.56 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $44.07 | 0.9 | 48.03 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $14.99 | 9.6 | 1.56 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $24.20 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $29.29 | 17.3 | 1.69 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $13.18 | 14.9 | 0.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $62.65 | 17.3 | 3.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $68.57 | 0.9 | 74.75 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $34.74 | 9.6 | 3.62 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $7.39 | 14.9 | 0.50 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $82.85 | 17.3 | 4.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $90.69 | 0.9 | 98.85 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $45.94 | 9.6 | 4.78 | Analyst | medium |