MEDLINE INC (MDLN)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.590.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDLN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 83.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 84.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MDLN — COO transition
Dated 2026-07-09
Chief Operating Officer — Stephen L. Miller: Stephen L. Miller is retiring from his role as Chief Operating Officer due to health-related reasons.
Why it matters: Meeting this target shows the company is on track with its financial goals. It confirms management's ability to maintain performance.
Supportive ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA was $3.5 billion or more.
Worry ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA was less than $3.5 billion.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it shows the healthcare sector is improving. This could help Medline's performance.
Supportive ifHealthcare sector revenue growth is speeding up to 10% or more.
Worry ifHealthcare sector revenue growth stays below 10% for another quarter.
Why it matters: Going below this level shows weak demand and problems with growth goals.
Worry ifQ3 Organic Sales growth reported at 9.0% or higher.
Less concerning ifQ3 Organic Sales growth was below 9.0%.
Why it matters: News about the buyback may show confidence in cash flow and spending plans.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of share buyback plans or updates on progress.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the share buyback program.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $486 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,483 loss on $10,000 · 34.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The fire's impact on operations could affect sales and costs in the near term.
Worry ifReported progress on recovery or insurance claims from the fire.
Less concerning ifMore losses or problems reported due to the fire.