Nine Energy Service Inc (NINE)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.10-4.95%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NINE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -82.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers
NINE — CFO transition
Dated 2026-04-24
CFO — Guy Sirkes: The CFO is resigning to join another company, but an internal successor (Heather Schmidt) is appointed as Interim CFO, indicating an orderly transition rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is key for funding operations. It shows the company is managing its finances well.
Watch forCash flow from operations turns positive in Q3.
Also watch forCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would show a change in the declining energy sector. This could help investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is positive compared to last year. This shows the sector is recovering.
Worry ifQ3 revenue keeps declining compared to last year. This shows the sector still has problems.
Why it matters: Less net income loss would show better profitability. This could bring in more investors.
Supportive ifNet income losses decrease to less than $6.1M in Q3.
Worry ifNet income losses worsen or stay above $6.1M in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$271 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $869 loss on $10,000 · 8.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,685 loss on $10,000 · 56.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.