Nike, Inc. (NKE)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$40.49+5.22%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put NKE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods is in contraction. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — At least 1% revenue growth: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — what the market is pricing in runs ahead of what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 50% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNike's revenue is shrinking, yet the stock trades at a premium. The company guided fiscal 2027 revenue to fall by a high-single-digit percentage. This decline is driven by worsening conditions in Greater China. The stock trades at 26 times earnings versus a 16 times peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast suggests. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 66% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. NKE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 43 analysts currently covering NKE (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 22 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NKE in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NKE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NKE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Scale Sport Offense to drive performance business momentum
CEO admission of sales shrinkage in key categories.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $40.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $40.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Scale Sport Offense to drive performance business momentum
Analyst downgrade citing Jordan franchise weakness challenges growth objective.
Loses key athlete to direct retail competitors.
Advances: Win Now actions to improve business
India-specific running shoe supports Win Now growth actions, though one launch is not thesis-changing.
Advances: Win Now actions to improve business health and quality
Exclusive India running shoe supports Win Now growth efforts and expands local market relevance.
Advances: Win Now actions to improve business health and quality
New India running shoe supports Win Now growth efforts and expands local market relevance.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business health and quality
Reported 44% Converse demand decline signals a meaningful brand-health and growth headwind.
Threatens: Win Now actions to improve business health and quality
Ongoing difficulty fixing Converse threatens business quality and growth recovery.
