NKE
Nike, Inc.NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFootwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, NKE has a mixed signal label with a composite score of 1.5 and a medium confidence level of 79.8. The score reflects strengths in management (45.7) and quality (65.0), but weaknesses in momentum (-12.7) and sector performance (12.3). The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores may change as new information becomes available.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.44
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.22 → $0.11 (-47.2% / 30d). 1 raised, 18 cut, 22 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 2 downgrades / 30d, 0 maintained. 45% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.9% above current price.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
7 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2025-12-02NKE — COO transitionimpact 0.43
- 2026-03-09NKE — credit agreementimpact 0.34
- 2026-03-09NKE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under and Off-Bala…impact 0.27
- 2026-03-05NKE — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities NIKE, Incimpact 0.24
- 2025-06-18NKE — director transitionimpact 0.23
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 56%; 252d 39%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −45%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 35/100, drawdown 10/100, beta 6/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NKE Nike, Inc. | +1.5 | full | elevated |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-06-26)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-06-26)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-311mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition Today NIKE, Inc. issued a press release disclosing financial results for the fiscal quarter ended February 28, 2026. The text of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 30 - 2026-03-092mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement 364-Day Credit Facility On March 6, 2026, NIKE, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a 364-Day Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent, and the other financial institutions named therein as lenders (the “364‑Day Credit Agreement”). The 364‑Day Credit Agreement provides for up to $1 billion of borrowings pursuant to a 364-day unsecured revolving credit facility (the “364‑Day Credit Facility”), which is available for working c…
capital allocationneutralscore 16 - 2026-03-092mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under and Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement The information contained in
capital allocationnegativescore 13 - 2026-03-092mo agoItem 1.02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement Termination of Prior 364-Day Credit Agreement On March 6, 2026, concurrently with the Company’s entry into the 364-Day Credit Agreement described in
mna activitynegativescore 13 - 2026-03-052mo agoItem 2.05
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities NIKE, Inc.’s (the “Company”) management has been evaluating opportunities to operate more efficiently and profitably through realigning costs, while also investing to reignite growth. On February 27, the Company’s management approved a plan to implement certain organizational changes, which together with previously approved actions, are expected to result in pre-tax charges of approximately $300 million for the nine months ended February 28, 2…
product or strategy shiftnegativescore 13
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.