NextNav, Inc. (NN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.18-3.44%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -40.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -14.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NN — private placement
Dated 2026-05-27
Other Events. On May 27, 2026, NextNav Inc. (the “Company”) announced that it has elected to redeem all of its outstanding public warrants (the “Public Warrants”) to purchase shares of the Company’s common stock, $0.0001 par value per share (the “Common Stock”), pursuant to the terms of the Amended and Restated Warrant Agreement, dated as of October 28, 2021 (the “Warrant Agreement”), by and among Spartacus Acquisition Corporation, the Company, and Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company,…
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better expense management. It means better financial health and stability.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow turns positive in Q2.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains negative in Q2.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth could impact NextNav's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Exceeding this revenue level would show better growth for NextNav's solutions.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was above $1.15M. This shows stronger demand for 3D PNT solutions.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was below $1.15M. This points to ongoing challenges in commercialization.
Why it matters: Updates on FCC talks can show progress. This is important for getting approval for PNT solutions.
Watch forManagement says there are good results from talks with the FCC.
Also watch forManagement reports problems or delays in talks with the FCC.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$321 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $710 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,727 loss on $10,000 · 47.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Stronger revenue growth shows NextNav is making progress with its PNT solutions.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported above $1.15 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $1.15 million.