NN Inc (NNBR)
NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.66+5.78%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NNBR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 53.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NNBR — officer change
Dated 2026-07-23
Director — Raymond T. White: Mr. Raymond T. White resigned as a member of the board of directors.
Why it matters: This shows NN is making more money and working better. It shows growth efforts are working.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is over $20 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is below $20 million.
Why it matters: This change could affect company operations and legal strategies. It may create uncertainty.
Worry ifA smooth transition with a new General Counsel named quickly.
Less concerning ifThere is a long delay in naming a successor. This may cause operational issues.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth in Q3 would confirm that NN's growth strategies are effective and sustainable.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $120 million. This shows the company is still growing.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $110 million. This means growth may be slowing.
Why it matters: Hitting this sales target shows strong demand and effective execution of growth strategies. It reflects market confidence.
Supportive ifNet sales for Q3 2026 exceed $130 million.
Worry ifNet sales for Q3 2026 fall below $130 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$295 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $902 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,431 loss on $10,000 · 24.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Confirming the guidance builds trust in the company's growth. It also shows strong market demand.
Supportive ifNet sales reported within the range of $460 million to $470 million for 2026.
Worry ifNet sales reported below $460 million for 2026.
Why it matters: A new General Counsel is key for legal stability. Delays could hurt company operations and investor trust.
Worry ifAnnouncement of a new General Counsel within the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNo announcement of a new General Counsel in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Successful refinancing can make the balance sheet better. It can also lower financial risk.
Supportive ifThey announced they refinanced preferred stock. The new terms are good.
Worry ifThey failed to complete refinancing or announced bad terms.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change company plans and affect investor trust.
Worry ifA new General Counsel is hired soon after the previous one leaves.
Less concerning ifNo new General Counsel is named within three months.
Why it matters: Achieving this target shows NN's growth momentum in key markets. It reflects strong demand and operational success.
Supportive ifNew business wins reported at or above $80 million for 2026.
Worry ifNew business wins reported below $80 million for 2026.
Why it matters: This growth rate shows NN's strong sales and better operations.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 net sales reported above $141 million, reflecting over 10% growth YoY.
Worry ifQ3 2026 net sales reported below $141 million, indicating less than 10% growth YoY.
Why it matters: Meeting this target shows good cost control and efficient operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is at or above $55 million for 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA will be less than $55 million in 2026.
Why it matters: New awards here will show NN's chance to gain market share in a growing area.
Supportive ifNew awards in Data Center products reported above $50 million in 2026.
Worry ifNew awards in Data Center products reported below $50 million in 2026.