NPK International, Inc. (NPKI)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.22+0.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NPKI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 the market pays 28× p/e — above the 19× p/e peer median but in line with its own 33× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $8.59 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $12.84 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $12.59 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $6.76 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $11.53 | 11.6 | 1.00 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $6.18 |
| 18.7 |
| 0.33 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $9.89 | 16.4 | 0.60 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $6.40 | 1.8 | 3.50 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $19.87 | 42.3 | 0.47 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $4.61 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $9.72 | 18.9 | 0.51 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $11.03 | 16.4 | 0.67 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $8.27 | 1.8 | 4.53 | guidance | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $30.21 | 42.3 | 0.71 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $12.29 | 16.4 | 0.75 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $9.22 | 1.8 | 5.05 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $39.96 | 42.3 | 0.95 | Analyst | medium |