NRC HEALTH (NRC)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$27.07+12.46%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -10.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NRC — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-27
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 27, 2026, NRC Health, a Delaware corporation (the "Company"), issued a press release announcing its financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: The CFO left in August, and the CEO later took on the interim finance role. A named successor would close that gap.
Supportive ifNRC names a permanent CFO in a company release or filing.
Worry ifNRC reports no permanent CFO by its next quarterly results release.
Why it matters: Revenue grew faster than TRCV in Q3. Continued revenue growth would show that contracts are turning into sales.
Supportive ifThe next quarter's revenue grows at least 9% year over year.
Worry ifThe next quarter's revenue grows less than 9% year over year.
Why it matters: The board declared a $0.16 quarterly dividend. Payment on the stated date would continue the recent pattern.
Supportive ifNRC pays $0.16 per share on January 8, 2027.
Worry ifNRC cancels, delays, or cuts the January 8, 2027 payment.
Why it matters: TRCV tracks contracts expected to be in force over the next year. Growth near 9% would support future revenue.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, TRCV is at least 9% higher than a year earlier.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, TRCV growth falls below 9% year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$156 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $473 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,649 loss on $10,000 · 46.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.