Insperity (NSP)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$51.96+0.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NSP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $52 NSP trades at 0.3× p/s, below its 1.6× p/s peer median. Our $55 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with low confidence: its earnings are too depressed to value on P/E (we anchor on sales instead) and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $52–$61. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $57.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $50.30 | 24.0 | 2.10 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $47.00 | 15.4 | 2.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $155.72 | 22.1 | 7.05 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$52.00 – $61.00 (median $57.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-07-31
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price the business can't be justified by any reasonable horizon of the forecast growth; the price already runs past what the model can underwrite. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.60/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $49.20 |
| 20.0 |
| 2.46 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $286.47 | 1.6 | 176.21 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $15.90 | 24.0 | 0.66 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $194.68 | 22.1 | 8.82 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $128.10 | 20.0 | 6.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $319.46 | 1.6 | 196.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $225.93 | 22.1 | 10.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $137.52 | 20.0 | 6.89 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $342.95 | 1.6 | 210.94 | Analyst | medium |