Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.11+0.66%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NWL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $6.11 NWL trades at 8.5× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $7.77 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $3.50–$11. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $5.75 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $1.21 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $4.64 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $1.81 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$3.50 – $11.00 (median $5.75) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-08-06
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $9.61 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $10.87 | 10.4 | 2.14 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $4.41 | 16.1 | 0.27 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $10.83 | 15.3 | 0.71 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $13.83 | 0.8 | 16.84 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $6.54 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $12.08 | 15.1 | 0.80 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $3.69 | 16.1 | 0.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $19.04 | 15.3 | 1.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $14.19 | 0.8 | 17.29 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $3.28 | 16.1 | 0.20 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $19.04 | 15.3 | 1.25 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $14.19 | 0.8 | 17.29 | guidance | medium |