Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.86+4.09%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NWL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NWL — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2026, Newell Brands Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release, including additional financial information, to report the Company’s earnings for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, which is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be dee…
Why it matters: The segment's core sales fell 6.4% in Q3, and its normalized operating loss widened. A sales recovery would help ease that strain.
Watch forOutdoor & Recreation core sales grow year over year in a reported quarter.
Also watch forOutdoor & Recreation core sales fall at least 6.4% year over year in a reported quarter.
Why it matters: Cash flow was $93 million through Q3, and Newell cut its full-year outlook to about $150 million. A lower result would add pressure to debt reduction.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 operating cash flow is below $150 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 operating cash flow is $150 million or higher.
Why it matters: Newell kept its full-year EPS outlook at $0.74 to $0.76. A result below $0.74 would miss its stated range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 normalized EPS is below $0.74.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 normalized EPS is $0.74 or higher.
Why it matters: Newell guided to 1% to 3% Q4 core sales growth. A result below 1% would miss the low end and weaken the growth story.
Worry ifQ4 2026 core sales growth is below 1%.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 core sales growth is 1% or higher.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$203 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $480 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,217 loss on $10,000 · 32.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.