NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$227.84+1.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put NXPI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth at or above $3.45B next quarter: Q3 FY26 revenue guidance $3.65B-$3.85B vs $3.45B target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskNXPI's growth depends on driving advancements in AI and software-defined vehicles. Revenue grew 19% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 18× P/E versus a peer median of 49×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The primary risk is revenue growth at or above $3.45 billion next quarter, with guidance set at $3.65 billion to $3.85 billion. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% above where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. NXPI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 30 analysts currently covering NXPI (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NXPI in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare NXPI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NXPI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
Partnership enhances growth in AI and software-defined vehicles.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $227.84
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $227.84.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
NXP's focus on recovery, AI, and margins aligns with growth objectives.
Stock drop indicates potential challenges in growth objectives.
Advances: Drive growth through AI and software-defined vehicles
BMW's deployment supports growth in AI and software-defined vehicles.
China auto risks could hinder growth objectives.
China auto risks could hinder growth objectives.
Downgrade reflects concerns over China risks impacting growth.
Acquisition aligns with AI and product portfolio growth objectives.
