Nextpower (NXT)
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$84.50+1.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NXT
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $84 NXT trades at 19× p/e, below its 34× p/e peer median. Our $115 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $111–$180. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $149.44 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $83.88 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $91.70 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $40.58 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$111.00 – $180.00 (median $149.44) · 31 analysts · as of 2026-08-04
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 77% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 3.2 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $3.91/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $102.71 |
| 23.5 |
| 4.05 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $135.35 | 38.1 | 3.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $150.58 | 33.9 | 4.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $84.50 | 3.6 | 23.40 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $185.00 | 41.7 | 4.44 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $26.00 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $103.41 | 23.3 | 4.44 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $172.08 | 33.9 | 5.07 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $205.85 | 38.1 | 5.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $239.21 | 33.9 | 7.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $146.86 | 3.6 | 40.67 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $293.90 | 41.7 | 7.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $164.28 | 23.3 | 7.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $272.24 | 38.1 | 7.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $316.35 | 33.9 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $194.23 | 3.6 | 53.79 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $388.68 | 41.7 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $217.27 | 23.3 | 9.33 | Analyst | high |