Nextpower (NXT)
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$84.50+1.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NXT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -26.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
NXT — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-06-22
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. On June 21, 2026, a subsidiary of Nextpower LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, entered into a share purchase and transfer agreement (the “Share Purchase Agreement”) to purchase all of the issued and outstanding limited partnership interests in Zimmermann PV-Steel Group GmbH & Co. KG, a limited partnership organized under the laws of Germany (“Zimmerman PV-Steel”), for total consideration of up to €330 million, consisting of (i) approximately €1…
Why it matters: A higher EBITDA margin means Nextpower makes more money and works better.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 25% for FY2027.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 22% for FY2027.
Why it matters: Exceeding this number would show strong demand and good execution in the business.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was over $935 million, showing strong growth.
Worry ifQ2 revenue drops below $935 million, hinting at weak demand or execution problems.
Why it matters: This acquisition will help Nextpower offer more products and grow in Europe.
Supportive ifThe deal is done. Nextpower merges Zimmermann's operations.
Worry ifThe deal does not close. This is due to rules or other problems.
Why it matters: A big increase in backlog shows strong customer demand and future revenue.
Supportive ifBacklog grows to over $6 billion by the end of Q2 FY2027.
Worry ifBacklog growth stagnates or declines from the current level of over $5.5 billion.
Why it matters: The new COO's plans could help Nextpower's performance and make more money.
Watch forOperational metrics show better efficiency and profits. This is under the new COO.
Also watch forOperational metrics drop or stay the same even with the new COO.
Why it matters: Closing the deal shows Nextpower is growing in battery storage and AI data centers.
Supportive ifThe deal closes by the end of Q2 FY27 if there are no delays.
Worry ifThe deal may face big regulatory problems or may not close on time.
Why it matters: This deal will expand Nextpower's product range and market presence in Europe. It could boost revenue significantly.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close in the second half of fiscal 2027. There will be no regulatory delays.
Worry ifRegulatory issues will delay the closing. It will take longer than expected.
Why it matters: A revenue increase shows strong demand. It also shows Nextpower's growth strategy is working.
Supportive ifQ2 FY2027 revenue reported above $935 million.
Worry ifQ2 FY2027 revenue reported below $935 million.
Why it matters: His leadership may help the company work better. This could lead to better performance.
Supportive ifOperating income is better now than it was last quarter.
Worry ifOperating income keeps going down or stays the same after he was appointed.
Why it matters: This acquisition is key to expanding Nextpower's market presence. If completed, it could boost future revenue.
Supportive ifWatch for an official announcement about the end of the acquisition. Also, look for plans to integrate.
Worry ifWatch for news about delays or the cancellation of the acquisition.
Why it matters: Her role as CFO may address financial challenges. Improvement in net income could indicate success.
Supportive ifNet income shows an increase compared to the previous quarter after her appointment.
Worry ifNet income continues to decline or stays flat post-appointment.
Why it matters: The COO change could affect how well the company runs and executes plans.
Watch forLook for positive updates from Robert Vinje in the next quarter.
Also watch forWatch for negative updates or problems during the COO transition.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future revenue. It also shows customer demand for Nextpower's products.
Supportive ifBacklog reported above $5.5 billion in the next earnings release.
Worry ifBacklog is reported below $5.5 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$299 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $703 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,755 loss on $10,000 · 47.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.