Nextpower (NXT)
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
$106.70+11.12%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NXT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NXT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-28
Director — Sarah Slusser, Michael Alvarez: The filing discloses the appointment of two new independent directors to expand the board size, which is a routine governance action rather than an executive departure.
Why it matters: eBOS bookings set a record above $100 million in Q2. More strong bookings would show demand for products beyond trackers.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports eBOS bookings above $100 million.
Worry ifA later quarter reports eBOS bookings at or below $100 million.
Why it matters: Management raised its revenue range to $4.2 billion to $4.45 billion. Meeting the low end would confirm progress on its growth plan.
Supportive ifFY2027 reported revenue is at least $4.2 billion.
Worry ifFY2027 reported revenue is below $4.2 billion. Or management cuts the range before year-end.
Why it matters: Backlog reached more than $6 billion on record bookings. Growth in revenue and a steady backlog would show orders are turning into sales.
Watch forA later report shows revenue growth year over year and backlog remains above $6 billion.
Also watch forA later report shows revenue down year over year and backlog below $6 billion.
Why it matters: Management plans to share its long-term strategy and financial framework. Clear targets would give investors a way to track platform growth.
Supportive ifAt the November 16 event, Nextpower gives clear long-term goals for revenue, margins, or product growth.
Worry ifThe event is delayed, or the company gives no clear long-term targets.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$237 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $703 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,110 loss on $10,000 · 51.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The Q3 guide sets a near-term test of customer demand. Results below that pace could weaken the raised yearly outlook.
Watch forQ3 FY2027 revenue grows at least 10% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 FY2027 revenue growth is below 10% year over year.