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O

Realty Income

NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08

$61.92+0.21%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, the analyst scoring for O indicates a "mixed" signal with a composite score of 9.2. The valuation score has risen significantly by 30.9 points to 66.5, leading to a change in the valuation label from "full" to "fair." Additionally, the composite insight score increased by 11.2 points, now at 9.2. The overall confidence level is medium at 75.3. This information is provisional.

Composite +9.2as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 20% of real estate cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.14
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
149223342220
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$61.92
TTM EPS
$1.03
Earnings yield
1.7%
P/E (TTM)
60.1

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 30% cash conversion in real estate cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
861
TTM CFO ($M)
3,573
CFO/NI
4.15

Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).

L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearishEPS revised +3.2% / 30d, n=2for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.42 → $0.43 (+3.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 5.0% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase investment volume to $8.0 billion in 2026growthmixed59% progress
    2/24: CEO: 'Our active pipeline for 2026 is reflected in our initial investment volume guidance of approximately $8.0 billion.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income has set a target to increase its investment volume from $6.3 billion in 2025 to approximately $8.0 billion in 2026. This represents a significant growth initiative, but as it is newly stated, progress will need to be tracked in future quarters.

  2. 2.Maintain high portfolio occupancygrowthbehind0% progress
    2/24: Portfolio occupancy was 98.9% as of December 31, 2025, compared to 98.7% as of September 30, 2025.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income's portfolio occupancy increased slightly from 98.7% in 2025-Q3 to 98.9% in 2025-Q4. The company aims to maintain this high occupancy rate, indicating stable property management and tenant retention.

  3. 3.Expand global addressable marketgrowthbehind0% progress
    2/24: CEO: 'Our growth outlook is supported by an ever-expanding global addressable market.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income is focusing on expanding its global addressable market, supported by partnerships and private capital. This strategic priority is in its early stages, and future disclosures will need to confirm progress and impact.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
lowworst 12m loss −11%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 17%; 252d 16%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) 0.76 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 78/100, beta 76/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-3.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLRE

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. score change · valuation_score
    severity 62

    Valuation rose by 30.9 points (from 35.6 to 66.5).

  2. score change · composite_insight_score
    severity 22

    Composite insight rose by 11.2 points (from -2.0 to 9.2).

  3. label change · valuation_label
    severity 20

    Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'.

As of 2026-05-08, the valuation score for O rose by 30.9 points, changing from 35.6 to 66.5. The composite insight score also increased by 11.2 points, moving from -2.0 to 9.2. Additionally, the valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'. The overall signal is now labeled as "mixed".

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite32.0 / 100
Capital allocation24
Earnings discipline27
Margin discipline51
Balance sheet34
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction44
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase investment volume to $8.0 billion in 2026

    Growth

    Realty Income aims to increase its investment volume to approximately $8.0 billion in 2026, up from $6.3 billion in 2025.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income has set a target to increase its investment volume from $6.3 billion in 2025 to approximately $8.0 billion in 2026. This represents a significant growth initiative, but as it is newly stated, progress will need to be tracked in future quarters.

    59%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'Our active pipeline for 2026 is reflected in our initial investment volume guidance of approximately $8.0 billion.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-24Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-24
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      CEO: 'Our active pipeline for 2026 is reflected in our initial investment volume guidance of approximately $8.0 billion.'

  • #2

    Maintain high portfolio occupancy

    Growth

    Realty Income aims to maintain a high portfolio occupancy rate, which was 98.9% as of December 31, 2025.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income's portfolio occupancy increased slightly from 98.7% in 2025-Q3 to 98.9% in 2025-Q4. The company aims to maintain this high occupancy rate, indicating stable property management and tenant retention.

    Portfolio occupancy was 98.9% as of December 31, 2025
    0%
    CEO/CFO:Portfolio occupancy was 98.9% as of December 31, 2025, compared to 98.7% as of September 30, 2025.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-24Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-24
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Portfolio occupancy was 98.9% as of December 31, 2025.

  • #3

    Expand global addressable market

    Growth

    Realty Income plans to expand its global addressable market, leveraging partnerships and private capital.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Realty Income is focusing on expanding its global addressable market, supported by partnerships and private capital. This strategic priority is in its early stages, and future disclosures will need to confirm progress and impact.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'Our growth outlook is supported by an ever-expanding global addressable market.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-24Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-24
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      CEO: 'Our growth outlook is supported by an ever-expanding global addressable market.'

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
54higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
49.7x
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
FCF yield

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
O
Realty Income
+9.2fairlow
WELL
Welltower
+7.9expensivelow
PLD
Prologis
+10fulllow
EQIX
Equinix
+22fairmoderate
AMT
American Tower
+18fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.6%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-11.1%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
lowas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2025-12-02)-16 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
  • If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter EPS surprise repeats current direction (latest surprise -10.5% on 2026-03-31)-2.4 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-063d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Realty Income Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release setting forth its results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. This information, including the information contained in the press release, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended…

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 74
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-25 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.