Omnicom Group (OMC)
NYSECommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-07-07
$80.83+1.16%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $80.83. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $81 OMC trades at 9.2× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median, but our blended $81 fair value is roughly in line with the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $6.81/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $423.34 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $510.69 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $49.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $81.55 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $44.90 | 23.6 | 1.90 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $27.58 | 5.8 | 8.07 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $160.60 | 16.1 | 9.99 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $207.48 | 23.6 | 8.78 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $79.56 | 1.2 | 66.26 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $73.86 | 8.4 | 8.78 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $56.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $82.85 | 9.4 | 8.78 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $204.95 | 23.6 | 8.67 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $87.47 | 23.6 | 3.70 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $244.25 | 16.1 | 15.20 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $359.90 | 23.6 | 15.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $126.62 | 1.2 | 105.44 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $128.12 | 8.4 | 15.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $143.72 | 9.4 | 15.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $136.45 | 23.6 | 5.77 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $323.03 | 16.1 | 20.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $475.96 | 23.6 | 20.14 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $167.45 | 1.2 | 139.45 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $169.44 | 8.4 | 20.14 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $190.07 | 9.4 | 20.14 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.