Orion Properties, Inc. (ONL)
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.71+0.74%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ONL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -71.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ONL — credit agreement
Dated 2026-02-19
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. CMBS Loan Extension and Modification Agreement On February 17, 2026, Orion Properties Inc. (the “Company”), through certain of its subsidiaries (the “Mortgage Borrowers”), entered into a loan extension and modification agreement (“Loan Modification Agreement”) with Computershare Trust Company, National Association, as Trustee, for the benefit of the holders of Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2022-ONL, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certifica…
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could help Orion Properties.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows a year-over-year increase of more than 3%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls more or stays the same compared to last year.
Why it matters: A return to revenue growth would signal a positive shift in the maturing real estate sector.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth remains below 1% year over year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $369 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,681 loss on $10,000 · 36.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.