Ormat Technologies (ORA)
NYSEUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$105.45+1.21%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRenewable UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ORA
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $105 the market pays 37× p/e — above the 23× p/e peer median but in line with its own 39× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $87 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $112–$152. Note: our $87 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($112–$152). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $135.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $53.23 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $44.57 | 17.6 | 2.53 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $55.30 | 2.9 | 19.00 | TTM | high |
| residual income |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$112.00 – $152.00 (median $135.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-08-10
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $42.10 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $113.35 | 39.4 | 2.88 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $73.48 | 23.1 | 3.19 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $40.65 | 17.6 | 2.31 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $48.17 | 2.9 | 16.55 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $83.33 | 39.4 | 2.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $37.08 | 17.6 | 2.11 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $43.94 | 2.9 | 15.10 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $67.87 | 39.4 | 1.72 | Analyst | high |