Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put ORCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Grow Cloud Revenue to $9.9B by Q4 FY26: Cloud revenue not reported; total rev +21.0% vs $9.9B target.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 65% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOracle's growth in Cloud Infrastructure and Cloud Applications must continue to justify its price. Revenue grew 21% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 22× P/E versus a peer median of 27×, indicating modest growth expectations compared to our view. If Oracle cuts guidance on the next call, that could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades. Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. ORCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 44 analysts currently covering ORCL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ORCL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare ORCL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ORCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Competitor uncertainty may hinder Oracle's growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $158.78
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $158.78.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Concerns over backlog may hinder AI contract expansion.

Earnings report could positively influence stock performance.

Larry Ellison's role change may impact leadership stability.

Advances: Maintain and grow shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks
Stock buyback supports shareholder returns objective.

Loss of CFO may impact financial strategy.

Threatens: Strengthen leadership with key executive hires
Layoffs may hinder talent acquisition and retention efforts.

Regulatory scrutiny could impact cloud growth objectives.
