Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$123.77-1.92%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
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Put ORCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Grow Cloud Revenue to $9.9B by Q4 FY26: Cloud revenue: $11.61B.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 54% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOracle's cloud revenue growth must keep compounding to justify the valuation. Revenue grew 30% year over year in the latest quarter. The company beat earnings estimates by 37% in that period. Oracle trades at 17 times earnings versus a 28 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. The primary pillar is under pressure from cloud revenue targets. A $20 billion capital raise signals heavy funding needs. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. ORCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 43 analysts currently covering ORCL (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ORCL in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ORCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Invest in data center capacity and infrastructure
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $123.77
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $123.77.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Power delays hinder data center capacity expansion.
Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Collapse of major AI deal directly threatens RPO growth objective.
Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Potential cancellation of major AI contract threatens RPO growth.
Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Cancellation of major AI infrastructure deal weakens RPO growth thesis.
Advances: Execute capital investment program via debt and equity financing
Confirms successful execution of capital investment financing plan.
Political risk to AI capex cycle threatens Oracle's growth thesis.
Advances: Execute capital investment program via debt and equity financing
Equity issuance supports capital allocation objective despite narrowing debt window.
Threatens: Expand Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog with large AI contracts
Loss of major AI contract hurts RPO growth.
