ORCL
Oracle CorporationNYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, ORCL has a composite score of 21.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score reflects medium confidence at 79.6, with strengths in management (63.3) and quality (69.0), while facing high market risk (80.7) and a full valuation score of 48.6. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores may change as new information becomes available.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.96 → $1.96 (-0.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 34 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 80% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 25.6% above current price.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
12 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase Cloud Revenuegrowthon track100% progress
3/10: “Total Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 44% to 48% in constant currency.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Oracle's guidance indicates Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 44% to 48% in constant currency. This recurring focus shows a strong commitment to expanding their Cloud segment, but the financials do not yet show specific dollar milestones achieved this quarter.
- 2.Achieve $67B Revenue in FY26growthmixed65% progress
3/10: “For fiscal year 2026, we expect revenue of $67 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Oracle's revenue reached $17.19 billion in 2026-Q3, contributing to the fiscal year 2026 target of $67 billion. The trajectory shows progress towards the annual goal, but the full-year target requires sustained growth in subsequent quarters.
- 3.Capital Expenditures of $50B in FY26capital allocationmixed44% progress
3/10: “For fiscal year 2026, we expect capital expenditures of $50 billion.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q3. Oracle has announced a significant capital expenditure plan of $50 billion for fiscal year 2026. This is a new strategic direction, and the financials do not yet reflect specific capex allocations or milestones achieved this quarter.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 59%; 252d 59%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −58%. Bad day move −6%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.10 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 1/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 10/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase Cloud Revenue
GrowthOracle aims to grow its Cloud revenue significantly, targeting a 44% to 48% increase.
On trackStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Oracle's guidance indicates Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 44% to 48% in constant currency. This recurring focus shows a strong commitment to expanding their Cloud segment, but the financials do not yet show specific dollar milestones achieved this quarter.
100%CEO/CFO:“Total Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 44% to 48% in constant currency.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-10Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-10Show history (3)
- 2026-Q3Multiple sources
“Total Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 44% to 48% in constant currency.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“we expect Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to grow 77% to $18 billion this fiscal year.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue is expected to grow significantly.”
- #2
Achieve $67B Revenue in FY26
GrowthOracle targets $67 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Oracle's revenue reached $17.19 billion in 2026-Q3, contributing to the fiscal year 2026 target of $67 billion. The trajectory shows progress towards the annual goal, but the full-year target requires sustained growth in subsequent quarters.
65%CEO/CFO:“For fiscal year 2026, we expect revenue of $67 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-10Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-10Show history (2)
- 2026-Q3Multiple sources
“For fiscal year 2026, we expect revenue of $67 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“we believe FY26 will be even better as our revenue growth rates will be dramatically higher.”
- #3
Capital Expenditures of $50B in FY26
Capital allocationOracle plans to allocate $50 billion for capital expenditures in fiscal year 2026.
MixedNewly stated in 2026-Q3. Oracle has announced a significant capital expenditure plan of $50 billion for fiscal year 2026. This is a new strategic direction, and the financials do not yet reflect specific capex allocations or milestones achieved this quarter.
44%CEO/CFO:“For fiscal year 2026, we expect capital expenditures of $50 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-10Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-10Show history (1)
- 2026-Q3Multiple sources
“For fiscal year 2026, we expect capital expenditures of $50 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ORCL Oracle Corporation | +22 | full | high |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-10)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-10)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-061mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On April 6, 2026, Oracle Corporation (“Oracle”) announced that Hilary Maxson will join Oracle as Chief Financial Officer on April 6, 2026. Ms. Maxson, age 48, served as Executive Vice President and Group Chief Financial Officer of Schneider Electric SE (“Schneider”) from 2020 until April 2026. In this role, Ms. Maxson was a member of Schneider’s Exe…
executive changeneutralscore 38 - 2026-03-101mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operati ons and Financial Condition On March 10, 2026, Oracle Corporation (“Oracle”) issued a press release announcing financial results for its fiscal third quarter ended February 28, 2026. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. Section 8—Other Events
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 17 - 2026-03-101mo agoItem 8.01
O ther Events Oracle announced that its Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $1,263.89 per share of our outstanding Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock and $0.50 per share of our outstanding common stock. The Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock dividend is payable on April 15, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on April 1, 2026 and the common stock dividend is payable on April 24, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on April 9,…
capital allocationneutralscore 13 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On February 2, 2026, Oracle Corporation, a Delaware corporation (“Oracle”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with BofA Securities, Inc., Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein, pursuant to which Oracle agreed to issue and sell 100,000,000 depositary…
capital allocationneutralscore 8 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Equity Distribution Agreement On February 2, 2026, Oracle Corporation, a Delaware corporation (“Oracle”) entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “Equity Distribution Agreement”) with BofA Securities, Inc., Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as sales agents, to sell shares of common stock, par value $0.01 per share, of Oracle (the “Common Stock”) having aggre…
mna activitypositivescore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.