PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$73.29+0.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PFSI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $73 PFSI trades at 0.9× p/b, below its 1.3× p/b peer median. Our $99 fair value sits well above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $78–$107. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $91.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $22.27 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $128.21 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $109.18 | 1.3 | 81.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$78.00 – $107.00 (median $91.50) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-07-30
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $109.44 |
| 11.1 |
| 9.87 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $250.93 | 28.0 | 8.97 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $91.06 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $109.74 | 12.4 | 8.85 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $136.11 | 1.3 | 101.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $389.50 | 11.1 | 35.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $157.66 | 1.3 | 117.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $515.12 | 11.1 | 46.46 | Analyst | medium |