Public Storage (PSA)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-07-07
$328.63+1.43%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $328.63. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $329 PSA trades at 19× p/ffo, in line with its 16× p/ffo peer median — but our blended $259 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $305–$352. Note: our $259 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($305–$352). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $350 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
$305.00 – $352.00 (median $316.00) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-07-06
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $316.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $234.27 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $209.46 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $159.59 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $110.64 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $346.89 | 21.5 | 16.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $281.67 | 16.2 | 17.41 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $219.19 | 7.9 | 27.62 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $73.17 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $311.62 | 30.3 | 10.27 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $169.51 | 16.2 | 10.48 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $364.48 | 21.5 | 16.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $164.61 | 16.2 | 10.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $269.94 | 7.9 | 34.01 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $43.25 | 2.7 | 15.99 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $485.30 | 30.3 | 15.99 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $376.70 | 21.5 | 17.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $115.07 | 16.2 | 7.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $309.22 | 7.9 | 38.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $49.54 | 2.7 | 18.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $555.92 | 30.3 | 18.32 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.