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PSA

Public Storage

NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-05-08

$311.04+0.55%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, PSA has a composite score of 18.4, categorized as "mild favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 73.7 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation, with notable unfavorable scenarios related to potential guidance cuts and sector trends weakening. This analysis is provisional.

Composite +18as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 30% of real estate cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.13
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
513365518694
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$311.04
TTM EPS
$9.14
Earnings yield
2.9%
P/E (TTM)
34.0

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 20% cash conversion in real estate cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
2,072
TTM CFO ($M)
3,128
CFO/NI
1.51
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearishEPS revised -3.2% / 30d, n=1for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $2.51 → $2.43 (-3.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 37% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 9.4% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Reaffirm Core FFO guidancegrowthbehind0% progress
    4/27: Public Storage has reaffirmed its previously provided guidance for Core FFO per share: $16.35 - $17.00.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Core FFO per share guidance reaffirmed at $16.35 - $17.00. Revenue showed a slight decline from $1224M in 2025-Q3 to $1113M in 2025-Q4. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

  2. 2.Accretive transaction synergiesgrowthbehind0% progress
    3/16: The transaction is expected to be accretive to FFO per share within the first year of closing.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The transaction is expected to be accretive to FFO per share within the first year of closing. No specific financial impact from synergies is evident in the current financials, indicating limited progress so far.

  3. 3.Raise 2025 outlookgrowthwatchprovisional
    7/30: We are raising our outlook based on stabilizing operations and accelerated acquisition volume.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite raising the 2025 outlook, revenue decreased from $1201M in 2025-Q2 to $1113M in 2025-Q4. The trajectory shows limited progress in achieving the raised outlook.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −16%, typical day ±1.2%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 26%; 252d 23%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) 1.20 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 63/100, drawdown 68/100, beta 80/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-3.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLRE

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite72.7 / 100
Capital allocation89
Earnings discipline87
Margin discipline50
Balance sheet46
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction48
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Reaffirm Core FFO guidance

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Public Storage aims to maintain its Core FFO guidance for the fiscal year.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Core FFO per share guidance reaffirmed at $16.35 - $17.00. Revenue showed a slight decline from $1224M in 2025-Q3 to $1113M in 2025-Q4. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Public Storage has reaffirmed its previously provided guidance for Core FFO per share: $16.35 - $17.00.
    8-KSource dated 2026-04-27Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q18-K

      Public Storage has reaffirmed its previously provided guidance for Core FFO per share: $16.35 - $17.00.

    • 2025-Q410-Q

      Set forth below are our current expectations with respect to full year 2025 Core FFO per share and certain underlying assumptions.

    • 2025-Q310-Q

      we are raising our 2025 outlook for the second consecutive quarter based on outperformance in NOI growth, acquisition activity, and Core FFO per share growth.

  • #2

    Accretive transaction synergies

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Public Storage expects transaction synergies to be accretive to FFO per share.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The transaction is expected to be accretive to FFO per share within the first year of closing. No specific financial impact from synergies is evident in the current financials, indicating limited progress so far.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:The transaction is expected to be accretive to FFO per share within the first year of closing.
    8-KSource dated 2026-03-16Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q18-K

      The transaction is expected to be accretive to FFO per share within the first year of closing.

  • #3

    Raise 2025 outlook

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Public Storage has raised its 2025 outlook based on operational performance.

    Watch

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite raising the 2025 outlook, revenue decreased from $1201M in 2025-Q2 to $1113M in 2025-Q4. The trajectory shows limited progress in achieving the raised outlook.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:We are raising our outlook based on stabilizing operations and accelerated acquisition volume.
    10-QSource dated 2025-07-30Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q310-Q

      we are raising our 2025 outlook for the second consecutive quarter based on outperformance in NOI growth, acquisition activity, and Core FFO per share growth.

    • 2025-Q210-Q

      We are raising our outlook based on stabilizing operations and accelerated acquisition volume.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
50higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
42higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
30.1x
EV/EBITDA
21.5x
FCF yield
5.2%

P/E over the last 5 years

67 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
PSA
Public Storage
+18fairmoderate
WELL
Welltower
+7.9expensivelow
PLD
Prologis
+10fulllow
EQIX
Equinix
+22fairmoderate
AMT
American Tower
+18fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.2%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.0%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-16.2%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-27)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-27)-8.0 pts
  • If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2712d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition and Exhibits On April 27, 2026, Public Storage announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is included in Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 50
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-12 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.