Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RDVT
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $76 the market pays 57× p/e — above the 27× p/e peer median but in line with its own 52× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $53 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $80 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $79.85 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $83.37 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $15.25 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $31.51 | 13.6 | 2.06 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 207% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 10.6 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.15/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $27.19 |
| 18.6 |
| 1.46 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $36.77 | 27.4 | 1.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $25.81 | 3.8 | 6.85 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $10.88 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $70.24 | 52.4 | 1.34 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $40.33 | 27.4 | 1.47 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $41.35 | 18.6 | 2.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $61.33 | 27.4 | 2.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $40.17 | 3.8 | 10.65 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $117.15 | 52.4 | 2.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $54.68 | 18.6 | 2.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $81.11 | 27.4 | 2.96 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $53.12 | 3.8 | 14.09 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $154.93 | 52.4 | 2.96 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |