Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$80.00+0.53%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RDVT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 35.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 18.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RDVT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-07
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 5, 2026, Red Violet, Inc. (the “Company” or “Red Violet”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Raymond James & Associates, Inc. and Needham & Company, LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named in Schedule I thereto (the “Underwriters”), relating to the Company’s underwritten public offering (the “Offering”) of 1,666,667 shares (the “Firm Shares”) of its common stock, par value $0.001 pe…
Why it matters: The August offering raised about $109 million. A disclosed deal would show cash going toward the stated acquisition plan.
Supportive ifRed Violet announces a major acquisition and names the target or deal terms.
Worry ifThe next quarterly filing shows no deal announcement and no cash used for a deal.
Why it matters: Revenue rose 23% in Q2, after 17% in Q1. Another strong quarter would back management’s growth focus.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least 20% above the prior-year quarter.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 17%, the Q1 2026 rate.
Why it matters: The margin rose to 42% in Q2 and 41% in Q1. A drop would break the recent pattern.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin is at least 40%.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 38%, the Q1 2025 level cited in the inputs.
Why it matters: Red Violet added a record 447 IDI customers in Q2. Another high count would support continued demand.
Supportive ifThe Q3 release reports at least 400 new IDI customers, matching or topping Q1’s 400.
Worry ifThe Q3 release reports fewer than 400 new IDI customers.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$160 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $554 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,211 loss on $10,000 · 42.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The tech sector is still growing, but its trend has eased. Red Violet’s recent revenue growth gives a clear company test.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 17%, the Q1 2026 rate, and sector growth remains on a slowing path.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth is at least 20%, while the sector trend no longer shows easing.