Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$76.14-0.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RDVT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 42.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RDVT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-07
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 5, 2026, Red Violet, Inc. (the “Company” or “Red Violet”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Raymond James & Associates, Inc. and Needham & Company, LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named in Schedule I thereto (the “Underwriters”), relating to the Company’s underwritten public offering (the “Offering”) of 1,666,667 shares (the “Firm Shares”) of its common stock, par value $0.001 pe…
Why it matters: Fewer new customers show less demand for Red Violet's services.
Worry ifNew customer additions to IDI below 400 in Q3.
Less concerning ifNew customer additions to IDI remain above 400 in Q3.
Why it matters: A high EBITDA margin shows good operations and profit. Staying above 40% helps management improve margins.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays above 40% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops below 35% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins mean lower costs and better efficiency. This helps with making more money long-term.
Supportive ifEBITDA margins are above 10%. This shows improvement.
Worry ifEBITDA margins are below 10%. This shows no improvement.
Why it matters: Better margins show the company is managing costs well. This means they are more efficient.
Supportive ifEBITDA margin is over 42%.
Worry ifEBITDA margin is under 41%.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$179 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $554 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,211 loss on $10,000 · 42.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Customer additions are key to Red Violet's growth strategy. More customers mean more revenue potential.
Supportive ifQ2 report shows customer growth over 400 new customers added.
Worry ifCustomer growth is less than 400 new customers in Q2.
Why it matters: Sustaining strong revenue growth is key to Red Violet's market position. Exceeding 20% growth shows continued demand for their services.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 20% compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 15% compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: Updates on the stock repurchase program indicate management's confidence in the company's value. It can also support share price.
Supportive ifMore share buybacks have been announced under the program.
Worry ifNo updates or more buybacks reported in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Completing this would give money for growth and acquisitions. This would help investor trust.
Supportive ifThe public offering is done. The money was used for important purchases.
Worry ifPublic offering fails to complete or proceeds are not used as planned.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into revenue and margin trends. This is a key indicator of performance.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better results than expected. This means strong performance.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows disappointing results. This means there may be problems.
Why it matters: Using money for acquisitions can boost growth and market share. Announcements show good use of funds.
Supportive ifAt least one deal paid for by the recent public offering has been announced.
Worry ifNo deals have been announced in six months after the public offering.