Rekor Systems Inc (REKR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.54+3.19%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REKR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -78.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 93.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 69 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
REKR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition.” This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. A conference call has been scheduled for August 13, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. Listeners may access the call live by telephone at (877) 407-8037 (tol…
Why it matters: The company received a notice of delisting. Compliance is crucial for maintaining its Nasdaq listing.
Worry ifNasdaq confirms Rekor has met the minimum bid price requirement.
Less concerning ifNasdaq has sent a formal delisting notice.
Why it matters: Fixing compliance issues is key to keeping the Nasdaq listing. It also helps keep investor trust.
Supportive ifA public announcement shows that they follow Nasdaq listing rules.
Worry ifMore notices of non-compliance or delisting could happen.
Why it matters: A big drop in the Adjusted EBITDA loss shows strong operational improvements. This matches management's goal to make a profit in the second half of 2026.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA loss reported at $1 million or less for Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA loss remains above $1.5 million for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Lower operating costs will help the company make money. This will improve cash flow. It is important for financial health.
Supportive ifOperating expenses decrease by more than $4 million in Q3 2026 compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifOperating expenses do not decrease by more than $4 million in Q3 2026 compared to Q3 2025.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$300 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $808 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,400 loss on $10,000 · 84.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Partnerships for Go-Secure.Video could drive new revenue streams and validate the product's market fit.
Watch forA new partnership for Go-Secure.Video will be announced in Q3 2026.
Also watch forNo news on Go-Secure.Video partnerships by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth falls, it could impact Rekor's sales and market position.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is below its median. This may mean a slowdown is coming.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is above the median. This suggests that expansion will continue.
Why it matters: If revenue is more than this amount, it shows strong recovery and demand for Rekor's products.
Supportive ifRevenue is above $12.6 million.
Worry ifRevenue falls below $12.6 million.
Why it matters: Strong growth in recurring revenue shows a healthy business and demand for Rekor's products. This backs management's plan to grow recurring revenue.
Supportive ifRecurring revenue growth reported at greater than 15% YoY for Q3 2026.
Worry ifRecurring revenue growth reported below 10% YoY for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Launching Go-Secure.Video could create new revenue streams and prove Rekor's product innovation. This fits with management's plan to grow the business.
Supportive ifA commercial launch partner for Go-Secure.Video will be announced in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo announcement of commercial launch partners for Go-Secure.Video by the end of Q3 2026.