Ryman Hospitality Properties (RHP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$123.49+1.01%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RHP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $123 RHP trades at 15× p/ffo, in line with its 13× p/ffo peer median — but our blended $89 fair value sits well below the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well below the analyst range. Analysts target $112–$147. Note: our $89 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($112–$147). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $150 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $132.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $45.78 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $44.07 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $29.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$112.00 – $147.00 (median $132.50) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-08-27
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $38.08 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $62.75 | 15.6 | 4.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $110.81 | 13.2 | 8.40 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $154.19 | 3.8 | 40.27 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $29.53 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $79.04 | 13.2 | 5.99 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $50.91 | 15.6 | 3.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $146.61 | 13.2 | 11.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $25.78 | 3.8 | 6.73 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $44.29 | 15.6 | 2.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $176.69 | 13.2 | 13.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |