SIBANYE STILLWATER LTD (SBSW)
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.79-2.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SBSW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Review the full earnings evidenceWhy it matters: Positive GDP growth may show a recovery in the materials sector. This could increase demand for metals.
Supportive ifGDP growth reported above 0% in the second estimate on August 26, 2026.
Worry ifGDP growth remains negative in the second estimate.
Why it matters: If revenue growth turns positive, it may show a recovery in the materials sector.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent.
Worry ifThree-year revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: Rising unemployment claims may show economic weakness. This could lower demand for metals and affect Sibanye Stillwater.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims rise above 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims stay below 250,000 for two weeks in a row.
Why it matters: Revenue growth may mean the materials sector is recovering.
Supportive ifMaterials sector reports revenue growth above 0% year over year.
Worry ifMaterials sector still shows negative revenue growth.
Why it matters: This index affects input costs for Sibanye Stillwater. Changes can impact margins.
Watch forPPI goes up more than 0.5% each month. This shows input costs are rising.
Also watch forPPI decreases or stays flat, suggesting stable or lower input costs.
Why it matters: CPI affects inflation and consumer demand. This can change sales.
Watch forCPI rises above 0.4% each month. This shows inflation is higher.
Also watch forCPI drops or stays the same. This suggests inflation is lower.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates. This affects market conditions for Sibanye Stillwater.
Watch forFOMC raises interest rates. This shows a tighter monetary policy.
Also watch forFOMC keeps rates the same or lowers them. This signals a more relaxed policy.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$242 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $688 loss on $10,000 · 6.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,102 loss on $10,000 · 61.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.