SIBANYE STILLWATER LTD (SBSW)
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.79-2.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put SBSW beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — earnings per share at or above $46.9 in FY26 and $61.16 in FY27: FY26 EPS $38.5 vs $46.9 target; FY27 EPS $36.9 vs $61.2 target.
View ThesisThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 61% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSibanye Stillwater's growth depends on achieving earnings per share at or above $46.9 in FY26. The latest earnings report showed EPS at $39.0, which is below the target. The stock trades at a high multiple with a miss probability of 40%. This suggests that the current price may not fully reflect the risk of missing future earnings targets. The primary risk is that the earnings target for FY26 is not met, which would break the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 40% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. SBSW is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering SBSW (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBSW Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Diversified Metals & Mining — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SBSW next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Analysts support organic growth, enhancing valuation outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Analyst upgrade suggests positive outlook for the company.
Strike could disrupt operations and impact profitability.
