SEA LTD (SE)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$112.09-0.89%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 44 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: This report can influence consumer spending and impact SEA's revenue outlook.
Watch forCPI shows an increase above 3% year over year, signaling stronger inflation.
Also watch forCPI is down below 2% from last year. This shows weaker inflation.
Why it matters: Interest rate changes can affect consumer spending and SEA's growth prospects.
Watch forFOMC raises rates. This shows they are confident in economic growth.
Also watch forFOMC cuts rates. This shows they are worried about an economic slowdown.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the weak consumer sector.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: This report helps us understand how people are spending money. It affects SEA's business.
Watch forRetail sales grew more than 1% from last month. This shows strong consumer demand.
Also watch forRetail sales growth falls below -1% month over month, suggesting weak consumer demand.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$199 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $446 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,022 loss on $10,000 · 60.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a shift in the declining consumer sector. It could improve investor confidence in SEA LTD's performance.
Supportive ifSEA LTD reports positive revenue growth in its next earnings release.
Worry ifSEA LTD reports negative revenue growth for another quarter.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show that consumers are less confident. This can hurt SEA's business.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims show a decrease from the previous week.
Less concerning ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims show an increase from the previous week.