Teads Holding Co. (TEAD)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.50-4.29%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TEAD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TEAD — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-08-14
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On August 11, 2026, Teads Holding Co. (the “Company”) received written notice (the “Notice”) from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that it is not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5450(a)(1), as the closing bid price of the Company’s common stock has been below the required minimum of $1.00 per share (the “Minimum Bid Pr…
Why it matters: This range is key to meeting the $100M Adjusted EBITDA goal for 2026. Achieving it shows solid progress.
Supportive ifQ2 Ex-TAC gross profit reported within the range of $121 million to $131 million.
Worry ifQ2 Ex-TAC gross profit reported below $121 million.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is critical for Teads to stabilize operations and support growth plans. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations is positive in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations is still negative in Q2.
Why it matters: A rise in gross profit is important for growth and efficiency.
Supportive ifGross profit was over $90M in Q2. This shows a recovery.
Worry ifGross profit reported below $80M in Q2, showing continued decline.
Why it matters: Higher spending from branding customers shows growing confidence in Teads' CTV offerings. This supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifBranding customers' CTV spend exceeds 13% of total CTV spend.
Worry ifBranding customers' CTV spend remains at or below 13%.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$439 on $10,000 · ±4.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $938 loss on $10,000 · 9.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,305 loss on $10,000 · 73.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This range is key for Teads to show progress toward its $100M target for the year.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reported within the range of $14M to $22M for Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $14M for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth in the sector could signal a turnaround for Teads.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 2% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow is vital for Teads to improve its financial stability.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations was positive for Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet cash from operations was negative for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Better Adjusted EBITDA shows progress toward the $100 million goal for 2026.
Supportive ifIn Q3, Adjusted EBITDA was more than $14 million. This shows good performance.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is under $7 million. This shows ongoing struggles with profits.
Why it matters: Strong CTV growth helps the company's plan and boosts revenue recovery.
Supportive ifCTV revenue growth reported above 70% year-over-year in Q3.
Worry ifCTV revenue growth fell below 60% year-over-year. This shows a slowdown.
Why it matters: Not following rules could lead to delisting. This would hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifTeads maintains a closing bid price above $1.00 per share for 10 consecutive days.
Less concerning ifTeads' stock price remains below $1.00 per share for an extended period, risking delisting.
Why it matters: The result could affect Teads' financial recovery and its place in the market.
Watch forA good court ruling backs Teads' claims and gives financial damages.
Also watch forA ruling against Teads that dismisses the lawsuit or limits damages.