Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$34.25-0.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TENB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TENB — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-29
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1) is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, whether made before or after today’s date, rega…
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth falls, it may signal a slowdown for Tenable. This could impact its market position.
Worry ifSector revenue growth has been below its median for two months in a row.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median for the same period.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal would show strong performance and better profits.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP income from operations is $66 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP income from operations is less than $66 million.
Why it matters: Better AI tools can help Tenable attract more customers and compete better.
Supportive ifNew AI features or partnerships that improve the platform.
Worry ifNo new AI features or partnerships announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings per share guidance shows how much money Tenable makes and how well it runs.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP diluted EPS guidance falls within the range of $0.49 to $0.52.
Worry ifNon-GAAP diluted EPS guidance falls below $0.49.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$262 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $546 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,852 loss on $10,000 · 48.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Progress in these partnerships may improve Tenable's AI skills. This can help its market position.
Supportive ifNew AI features or skills may come from these partnerships.
Worry ifNo updates or progress reported in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings per share growth shows better profits and efficiency. It gives investors confidence in finances.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP diluted earnings per share reported at $0.49 or above.
Worry ifNon-GAAP diluted earnings per share were below $0.49.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback program show management's trust in the company's value.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of an increase in the share repurchase program by $150 million.
Worry ifNo increase in the share repurchase program announced.
Why it matters: Updates on the AI platform show Tenable's ability to adapt to market needs and drive growth.
Supportive ifNew features and customer numbers for Tenable Hexa AI show big growth.
Worry ifNo new features or customer growth for Tenable Hexa AI.
Why it matters: Higher margins show better cost control and profit. This can attract investors.
Supportive ifGAAP operating margin was above 25%.
Worry ifGAAP operating margin was below 25%.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows strong demand for Tenable's products and supports growth plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $270 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $270 million.
Why it matters: More buybacks show confidence in the company's finances. This can help the share price.
Supportive ifLook for news on more share buybacks beyond the current $150 million.
Worry ifNo news on more increases in the share buyback program.
Why it matters: New AI features can bring in more customers. This helps Tenable's market position.
Supportive ifLook for news on new AI features or partnerships for Tenable One.
Worry ifNo new AI features or partnerships announced in the next quarter.