Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$34.25-0.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — EPS rises to $1.9-$1.98 in FY26: EPS guidance $1.9-$1.98 vs target $1.9-$1.98.
Tenable grows revenue to about $1.07 billion in 2026. Profit per share rises near $1.94. The company benefits from strong demand for cyber exposure solutions. It also buys back shares to return capital.
Growth could slow below 8% if demand weakens. Profit margins may shrink if costs rise. Share buybacks might not continue at current levels.
The market prices in about 8% revenue growth and values the stock slightly above our fair value near $38. Our fair value is 41% above the Street median, reflecting confidence in growth and margin expansion.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $1.9 in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $1.068B in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a growth opportunity in the tech sector, focusing on revenue expansion and AI innovations. The current thesis is intact, supported by recent performance that is strong relative to its industry.
The market currently prices TENB as justified, suggesting that its valuation is seen as cheap compared to peers. There is a negative expectations gap, indicating that investors may be cautious about future performance.
Management is on track to increase revenue and is actively executing a share repurchase program. However, the company remains loss-making, which adds a layer of risk to its financial trajectory.
The long-term thesis hinges on management's ability to meet revenue targets and the performance of sector leaders like MSFT and ORCL. Additionally, any changes in Federal Reserve interest rates could significantly impact the stock's performance.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this improved outlook. There are no current threats impacting the thesis.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Achieve full-year 2026 revenue in the range of $1.068 billion to $1.078 billion as a key growth target.
Breaks if: No further buyback increases or buybacks cease
In the next 1 to 3 years, TENB's performance will depend on its execution against growth targets and broader market conditions. Not investment advice.