Gentherm Incorporated (THRM)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$40.70+1.70%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · THRM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $41 THRM trades at 14× p/e, in line with its 14× p/e peer median, and our $41 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $44–$59. Note: our $41 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($44–$59). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $50.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $67.37 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $37.15 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $38.37 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$44.00 – $59.00 (median $50.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-07-29
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 74% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 25.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.03/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $33.43 |
| 7.5 |
| 4.74 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $19.23 | 14.6 | 1.32 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $38.03 | 13.5 | 2.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $32.49 | 0.6 | 50.86 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $44.46 | 15.8 | 2.81 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $27.65 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $40.40 | 14.4 | 2.81 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $40.14 | 13.5 | 2.97 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $20.33 | 14.6 | 1.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $51.80 | 13.5 | 3.83 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $39.89 | 0.6 | 62.44 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $60.56 | 15.8 | 3.83 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $55.03 | 14.4 | 3.83 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $21.10 | 14.6 | 1.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $60.01 | 13.5 | 4.43 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $46.20 | 0.6 | 72.33 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $70.15 | 15.8 | 4.43 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $63.74 | 14.4 | 4.43 | Analyst | medium |