TJX Companies (TJX)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$132.08-0.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put TJX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail: structurally weak cohort (structural / late-cycle), so the cyclical early-warning is suppressed.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 16% growth a year, above the roughly 6% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTJX's growth trajectory relies on its ability to expand market share and improve margins. The company raised its full-year guidance, projecting consolidated sales of $63.4-$63.8 billion and EPS of $5.15-$5.20. It trades at 25× P/E versus a peer median of 16×, indicating that the market expects more growth than TJX forecasts. Analysts suggest that expectations look full, with a miss probability of 16%. A specific risk is if TJX cuts guidance after recently raising it, which could damage credibility. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. TJX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering TJX (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TJX in the last 4 months.
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Compare TJX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TJX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase full year FY27 comp sales growth to 3% to 4%
Beating expectations supports comp sales growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $132.08
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $132.08.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Threatens: Increase full year FY27 comp sales growth to 3% to 4%
Downgrade indicates potential slowdown in comp sales growth.
Threatens: Increase full year FY27 comp sales growth to 3% to 4%
TJX's comp sales growth lagging behind Ross Stores.
Advances: Increase full year FY27 comp sales growth to 3% to 4%
Q2 beat supports comp sales growth objective.
Advances: Increase pretax profit margin outlook to 12.0% to 12.1% for FY27
Strong performance supports margin outlook.
Advances: Increase store growth to 4% starting FY28 and raise long-term store target to 7…
Long-term store target increase aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Increase full year FY27 comp sales growth to 3% to 4%
Earnings call confirms growth trajectory and comp sales outlook.
Advances: Increase pretax profit margin outlook to 11.9% to 12.0% for FY27
Market share gains support margin expansion objective.