T-Mobile US (TMUS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$159.17+3.08%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put TMUS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
T-Mobile's strong recent performance must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue growth is slowing, dropping from 10.6% to 7.4% year over year. The company beat its Q3 2026 earnings estimate by 12.6%. It trades at 15x earnings versus a 17x peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Competition from satellite services threatens customer retention. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 15%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. TMUS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering TMUS (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TMUS in the last 4 months.
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Compare TMUS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Communication Services (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TMUS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Rate-hike refunds create reputational and potential regulatory risk around pricing promises.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $159.17
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $159.17.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Satellite-to-cell competition could pressure network differentiation, though commercial impact remains uncertain.
A reported competitive threat drove a sharp sell-off, raising network and growth concerns.
The reported crash reflects a new competitive concern, though no operating damage is established.
Sector-wide reaction to a SpaceX spectrum deal raises credible competitive risks.
Advances: Return capital to shareholders through repurchases and dividends
A substantial dividend increase advances shareholder returns and signals confidence in cash generation.
Advances: Return capital to shareholders through repurchases and dividends
A 15% quarterly dividend increase directly advances capital returns.
Analyst downgrade indicates competitive risks for T-Mobile's growth.
