TripAdvisor (TRIP)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.32+0.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRIP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.32 TRIP trades at 12× p/e, below its 13× p/e peer median. Our $13 fair value sits well above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $9.00–$20. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $15.25 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $11.79 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $10.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $6.93 | 3.5 | 1.97 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$9.00 – $20.00 (median $15.25) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-08-11
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 168% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.39/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $12.86 |
| 11.4 |
| 1.13 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $10.82 | 13.4 | 0.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $15.25 | 1.0 | 15.62 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $15.35 | 18.9 | 0.81 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $6.48 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $11.42 | 13.4 | 0.86 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $8.54 | 11.4 | 0.75 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $12.34 | 13.4 | 0.92 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $11.77 | 1.0 | 12.05 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $17.51 | 18.9 | 0.92 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $6.50 | 11.4 | 0.57 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $10.38 | 13.4 | 0.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $9.90 | 1.0 | 10.14 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $14.73 | 18.9 | 0.78 | Analyst | medium |