TriMas Corp. (TRS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$39.48+1.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $39 TRS trades at 22× p/e — 1.5× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $69 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $177.72 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $243.03 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $39.83 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $54.69 | 10.4 | 3.04 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 145% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.14/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $72.96 |
| 16.1 |
| 4.54 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $26.76 | 15.1 | 1.77 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $17.40 | 0.8 | 21.20 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $34.40 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $28.83 | 15.1 | 1.91 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $110.97 | 16.1 | 6.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $29.61 | 15.1 | 1.96 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $15.27 | 0.8 | 18.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $146.75 | 16.1 | 9.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $27.13 | 15.1 | 1.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $13.99 | 0.8 | 17.04 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |