TriMas Corp. (TRS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$39.40+0.48%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TRS — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. TriMas Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release on October 29, 2026, reporting its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The press release is also available on the Corporation's website at www.trimas.com . The information presented in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of t…
Why it matters: Selling Rapak would further narrow TriMas's business focus. A completed sale would confirm the stated plan; a delay or failed deal would not.
Supportive ifTriMas reports that the Rapak sale closed in November 2026.
Worry ifTriMas reports that the Rapak sale did not close in November, or that the agreement ended.
Why it matters: Management says Norris Cylinder delays still hurt results. Better output would ease a key drag on Specialty Products.
Supportive ifA later report says Norris Cylinder has less machine downtime and an easier labor ramp-up. Specialty Products profit margin rises year over year.
Worry ifLater reports still cite throughput delays, and Specialty Products profit margin falls year over year.
Why it matters: TriMas raised its full-year sales growth range to 4% to 6%. Results in that range would show growth across its remaining businesses.
Supportive ifFull-year Packaging and Specialty Products sales rise 4% to 6% year over year.
Worry ifFull-year sales growth falls below 4% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$84 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $295 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,592 loss on $10,000 · 15.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.