UBER
UberNYSEIndustrialsSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, UBER has a signal label of "mild_favorable" with a composite score of 10.3. This change from "mixed" indicates a slight improvement in analyst sentiment. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.09
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Buyback / dividend activity on weakening fundamentals — historically a value-trap pattern (48% T+1y positive return vs 69% baseline in IT 2024-26).
Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.92. 0 raised, 6 cut, 28 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 10 maintained. 84% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 39.2% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve Adjusted EBITDA growthgrowthmixed59% progressprovisional
2/4: “Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion in 2025-Q4, up from $1.842 billion in 2024-Q4. The trajectory shows consistent delivery on growth targets.
- 2.Increase Gross Bookingsgrowthmixed59% progressprovisional
2/4: “Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion in 2025-Q4, up from $44.197 billion in 2024-Q4. The growth trajectory aligns with management's stated focus on increasing user engagement and trip volume.
- 3.Expand Free Cash Flowcapital allocationon track71% progressprovisional
2/4: “Free cash flow was $2.8 billion, up 65% YoY.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Free cash flow reached $2.8 billion in 2025-Q4, up 65% YoY from $1.706 billion in 2024-Q4. This reflects management's focus on enhancing cash flow through operational efficiencies and strategic investments.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 38%; 252d 33%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −31%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.81 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 45/100, drawdown 38/100, beta 81/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · signal_labelseverity 20
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.
As of May 8, 2026, the signal label for UBER changed from "mixed" to "mild_favorable." This reflects a transition in sentiment. The overall composite score is 10.3, with a medium confidence level of 74.5. The inputs indicate that the situation is provisional.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve Adjusted EBITDA growth
GrowthFocus on increasing Adjusted EBITDA through operational efficiencies and revenue growth.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion in 2025-Q4, up from $1.842 billion in 2024-Q4. The trajectory shows consistent delivery on growth targets.
Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion59%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Adjusted EBITDA grew 35% YoY to $2.5 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Adjusted EBITDA of $2.41 billion to $2.51 billion, which represents 31% to 36% YoY growth.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“Adjusted EBITDA of $2.19 billion to $2.29 billion, which represents 30% to 36% YoY growth.”
- #2
Increase Gross Bookings
GrowthDrive growth in Gross Bookings through increased user engagement and trip volume.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion in 2025-Q4, up from $44.197 billion in 2024-Q4. The growth trajectory aligns with management's stated focus on increasing user engagement and trip volume.
Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion59%CEO/CFO:“Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Gross Bookings grew 22% YoY to $54.1 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Gross Bookings of $52.0 billion to $53.5 billion, representing growth of 17% to 21% YoY.”
- #3
Expand Free Cash Flow
Capital allocationEnhance free cash flow through operational efficiencies and strategic investments.
On trackStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Free cash flow reached $2.8 billion in 2025-Q4, up 65% YoY from $1.706 billion in 2024-Q4. This reflects management's focus on enhancing cash flow through operational efficiencies and strategic investments.
Free cash flow was $2.8 billion, up 65% YoY71%CEO/CFO:“Free cash flow was $2.8 billion, up 65% YoY.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-04Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Free cash flow was $2.8 billion, up 65% YoY.”
- 2025-Q3Press release
“Free cash flow, defined as net cash flows from operating activities less capital expenditures, was $2.8 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
44 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
UBER Uber | +10 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-06)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02
and in the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 75 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 4, 2026, Uber Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah, Chief Financial Officer, will step down from his role on February 16, 2026. Balaji Krishnamurthy, currently Vice President, Strategic Finance, will assume the role of Chief Financial Officer on that date. Mr. Mahendra-Rajah will serve as a Senior F…
executive changeneutralscore 9 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 2.02
and in the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 9 - 2026-02-092mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. On February 8, 2026, Uber Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an agreement with Mubadala Investment Company to acquire Getir Perakende Lojistik A.Ş.’s (“Getir”) delivery portfolio in Türkiye, including food, grocery, retail, and water delivery. The transaction is structured in phases with the agreement to acquire 100% of Getir’s food delivery business at the outset, for $335 million in cash on a cash and debt free basis. Getir’s food delivery business gen…
mna activitypositivescore 7 - 2026-01-123mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. New Non-GAAP Measures Beginning in the first quarter of 2026, Uber Technologies, Inc. (the “Company” or “we”) will report its Non-GAAP Operating Income, Non-GAAP Net Income and Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share (“EPS”). These new non-GAAP measures will replace the Company’s Adjusted EBITDA. These new non-GAAP measures bring the Company's previous non-GAAP measure (Adjusted EBITDA) closer to GAAP by including depreciation, amortization (excluding amortization of acquired intangibles) a…
mna activitypositivescore 4
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.