US Gold Corp. (USAU)
NASDAQMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-05
$10.58-6.21%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · USAU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 31.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -27.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 58.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers
USAU — private placement
Dated 2025-12-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On December 23, 2025, U.S. Gold Corp. (the “Company”) entered into a series of securities purchase agreements (the “Purchase Agreements”) with certain investors (the “Purchasers”), for the sale and issuance in a non-brokered private placement of an aggregate of 1,922,159 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share, at a purchase price of $16.25 per share. In addition, the Company agreed to issue to the Purchasers, unregistered c…
Why it matters: The current mine plan leaves some measured and indicated resources out. Added reserves could support more mining beyond the 11-year plan.
Supportive ifA new technical report adds measured or indicated resources at depth or along strike. It may also add them to mine reserves.
Worry ifA new technical report finds no added resources in those areas. Or it says the added material cannot extend the mine plan.
Why it matters: The sector note says materials revenue has been shrinking. A return to growth would ease that sector-wide pressure on project funding and demand.
Supportive ifThe sector data show three-year materials revenue growth above 0%.
Worry ifThe sector data keep three-year materials revenue growth at or below 0%.
Why it matters: All permits needed to start construction are in hand. A permit change could delay the project or add new work.
Worry ifA regulator suspends, withdraws, or makes a major change to a permit needed to build CK Gold.
Less concerning ifThe company reports that key permits remain in force. No new permit rules block planned construction.
Why it matters: Management said construction could follow once funding is secured. A start would show the project has moved beyond study work.
Supportive ifThe company reports a construction start at CK Gold during 2026, such as site work or major equipment orders.
Worry ifThe company reports that construction has not started by year-end 2026, or pushes the start date beyond 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$146 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $634 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,553 loss on $10,000 · 55.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.