Verisign (VRSN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-07-07
$266.78+2.95%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $266.78. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $267 VRSN trades at 29× p/e, below its 51× p/e peer median, but our blended $274 fair value is roughly in line with the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 79% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 26.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $9.24/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2012-Q3, 2013-Q1, 2013-Q2, 2013-Q3
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $210.78 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $208.82 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $307.10 | 25.4 | 12.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $385.16 | 33.7 | 11.42 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $461.06 | 50.9 | 9.05 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $135.13 | 7.4 | 18.34 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $141.45 | 15.6 | 9.05 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $265.66 | 29.4 | 9.05 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $472.63 | 50.9 | 9.28 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $471.28 | 33.7 | 13.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $583.84 | 50.9 | 11.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $164.39 | 7.4 | 22.31 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $179.12 | 15.6 | 11.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $336.40 | 29.4 | 11.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $539.14 | 33.7 | 15.98 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $663.49 | 50.9 | 13.02 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $186.82 | 7.4 | 25.35 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $203.56 | 15.6 | 13.02 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $382.30 | 29.4 | 13.02 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.