Vertiv (VRT)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$305.60-4.04%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $305.60. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $306 VRT trades at 68× p/e — 1.7× the 40× p/e peer median, and above its own 48× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $228 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts target $330–$500. Note: our $228 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($330–$500). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $354.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $157.64 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $159.19 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $33.11 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$330.00 – $500.00 (median $354.00) · 16 analysts · as of 2026-06-09
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 1014% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 9.3 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.40/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $227.56 |
| 40.3 |
| 5.65 |
| Mgmt |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $118.33 | 23.4 | 5.15 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $232.92 | 39.5 | 5.89 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $181.24 | 40.3 | 4.50 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $117.24 | 4.2 | 27.65 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $161.25 | 35.8 | 4.50 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $218.46 | 48.5 | 4.50 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $192.64 | 40.3 | 4.78 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $895.74 | 40.3 | 22.24 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $275.65 | 40.3 | 6.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $240.63 | 4.2 | 56.76 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $245.24 | 35.8 | 6.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $332.25 | 48.5 | 6.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $2233.09 | 40.3 | 55.44 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $364.54 | 40.3 | 9.05 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $318.24 | 4.2 | 75.06 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $324.33 | 35.8 | 9.05 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $439.40 | 48.5 | 9.05 | Analyst | high |