Vertiv (VRT)
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$280.53+4.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Achieve revenue of $13.5 to $14 billion in 2026: FY26 guidance $14.1B vs $13.5B target.
Vertiv grows sales strongly, aiming for about $14 billion in 2026. EPS is expected to rise to about $5.70, showing better profits. New facilities and acquisitions boost its AI data center business. The company keeps raising guidance, showing confidence in growth.
Recent guidance cuts and a sharp stock selloff show risks. Revenue growth may slow due to timing issues in key markets. High valuation and volatile management add uncertainty.
The stock trades about 34% above our fair value near $231, reflecting analysts' 40% revenue growth expectations. Our fair value is well below the Street median, indicating the market prices in strong growth that may be optimistic.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $5.60 in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $13.5 billion in FY26
Breaks if: Acquisition not completed or integration fails by end 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a multi-year view on a company that operates in a volatile sector with high risk. VRT is positioned as a growth-oriented firm focused on expanding its technology portfolio and capacity, but faces challenges in management execution and sector headwinds.
The current valuation suggests that the market sees VRT as expensive compared to its peers. There is an expectations gap indicating that the market is not fully pricing in potential growth, but the premium over peers suggests some confidence in its future performance.
Management has shown robust earnings quality with strong revenue growth, but execution on capacity expansion and strategic acquisitions has been mixed. The near-term risk of missing earnings is low, but the company operates in a high-miss-rate industry, which could impact its performance.
The future performance of VRT hinges on its ability to maintain guidance and execute on growth initiatives. Additionally, the performance of sector bellwethers like ETN, BE, and AME will be crucial, as their results could influence VRT's momentum in the Industrials sector.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'favorable' to 'mild_favorable'.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this view. The company is expanding capacity and investing in research and development for AI demand. There are no new threats noted.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Overall, VRT's long-term outlook is shaped by its growth commitments and sector dynamics. Not investment advice.