Victoria's Secret (VSXY)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$75.56+2.61%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VSXY
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $76 VSXY trades at 20× p/e, in line with its 16× p/e peer median, and our $76 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $73–$101. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $90.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $99.13 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $173.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $32.49 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
$73.00 – $101.00 (median $90.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-09-04
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 58% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 4.5 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.79/sh normalized earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $75.56 |
| 17.9 |
| 4.93 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $72.19 | 19.3 | 3.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $61.28 | 16.3 | 3.75 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $26.39 | 0.4 | 72.64 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $53.36 | 14.2 | 3.75 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $22.26 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $69.70 | 16.3 | 4.27 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $112.85 | 16.3 | 6.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $39.85 | 0.4 | 109.71 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $98.27 | 14.2 | 6.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $144.30 | 16.3 | 8.83 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $50.96 | 0.4 | 140.28 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $125.65 | 14.2 | 8.83 | Analyst | medium |