Warby Parker, Inc. (WRBY)
NYSEHealth CareSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$26.08+22.50%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WRBY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 93.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 14 industry peers
WRBY — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 6, 2026, Warby Parker Inc. (the “ Company ”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is furnished herewith and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securi…
Why it matters: That is the low end of the company’s annual forecast. It would keep growth near its stated 10% to 12% goal.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue is at least $959 million, with year-over-year growth of at least 10%.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue is below $959 million, or reported growth is below 10%.
Why it matters: The 2026 forecast includes launch costs, but no product sales. Sales would show the new line is adding revenue.
Supportive ifA results report names Intelligent Eyewear revenue and shows sales in Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe company reports no Intelligent Eyewear sales in Q4 2026, or delays the launch.
Why it matters: Revenue grew 8.3% in Q1 and 9.8% in Q2. Growth below the Q1 rate would break that recent pace.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 8.3% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth is at least 8.3% year over year.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin rose to 57.9%, helped by tariff refunds. Q1 margin was 54.0%, so a sharp drop would show cost pressure remains.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below 53.0%, lower than both Q1 2026 and Q2 2025.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at least 54.0%, matching or beating Q1 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $725 loss on $10,000 · 7.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,288 loss on $10,000 · 32.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The company opened 29 net new stores in the first half and aims for 50 in 2026. Slower openings would miss that plan.
Worry ifThe company opens at least 21 more net new stores in the second half, reaching 50 for 2026.
Less concerning ifThe company opens fewer than 21 more net new stores in the second half, ending 2026 below 50.