ExxonMobil (XOM)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas IntegratedSnapshot 2026-07-07
$141.69+3.85%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track XOM free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Energy is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskExxon Mobil's growth depends on increasing U.S. LNG exports and steady earnings. The company recently beat earnings expectations, reporting a 30% surprise in Q1 FY2026. It trades at 21× P/E, below the peer median of 23×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations. The risk comes from management's unsteady execution and a warning about their commitment. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. XOM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering XOM (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for XOM in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $141.69. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Energy (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Increased profit supports overall growth and capital allocation.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $141.69
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $141.69.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Repurchase $20B of shares in 2026
Profit surge supports share repurchase objective.
Advances: Advance growth through advantaged volume and project start-ups
Higher earnings signal positive growth trajectory.
Advances: Advance growth through advantaged volume and project start-ups
Higher earnings signal positive growth trajectory.
Equity sale impacts financial stability and could affect capital allocation.
Upgrade suggests positive outlook on valuation and growth potential.
Regulatory scrutiny could impact cost savings and LNG export objectives.
Expansion in Guyana supports LNG export growth objective.