Block, Inc. (XYZ)
NYSEFinancialsSoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-07-07
$77.56-1.72%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $77.56. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $78 the market pays 29× p/e — above the 17× p/e peer median but in line with its own 29× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $79 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts target $32–$100. Not investment advice.
$32.00 – $100.00 (median $85.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-06-30
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $85.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $76.12 | 2.1 | 36.28 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $74.18 | 13.6 | 5.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $44.02 | 16.5 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $138.22 | 3.4 | 40.96 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $76.57 | 28.8 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $77.62 | 29.2 | 2.66 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $46.71 | 16.5 | 2.82 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $93.66 | 2.1 | 44.64 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $66.95 | 16.5 | 4.05 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $116.46 | 28.8 | 4.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $118.05 | 29.2 | 4.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $107.55 | 2.1 | 51.26 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $88.54 | 16.5 | 5.35 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $154.02 | 28.8 | 5.35 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $156.12 | 29.2 | 5.35 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.