ACCESS NEWSWIRE INC (ACCS)
AMEXCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.49-2.51%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACCS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -33.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 5.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
ACCS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-11
of this report, including the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1, is furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Furthermore, such information shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the registrant under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue matched the prior year, while first-half revenue fell 1%. Growth would show that new products and sales efforts are gaining traction.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $5.3 million, the Q2 2025 level, and the company reports growth in core press release revenue.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $5.3 million, or core press release revenue turns negative year over year.
Why it matters: Higher distribution costs cut gross margin from 76% a year ago to 73%. The company also plans to lower costs by about $150,000 in the second half.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin tops 73%. The company reports lower costs to distribute press releases.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin stays at or below 73%, or distribution costs rise further.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA fell to $642,000 from $836,000 a year ago. Another drop could show that higher costs are outpacing savings.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA falls below $642,000 or turns negative.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA stays at or above $642,000 while gross margin improves from 73%.
Why it matters: Q2 subscription customers rose to 1,162, while ARR per customer reached $12,718. More growth would show new products are drawing paying customers.
Supportive ifIn the Q3 report, subscription customers top 1,162 and ARR per customer tops $12,718.
Worry ifSubscription customers fall below 1,162 or ARR per customer falls below $12,718.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$201 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $577 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,769 loss on $10,000 · 67.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.