Acorn Energy Inc (ACFN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$16.10-1.29%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACFN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -30.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
ACFN — officer change
Dated 2026-09-18
The filing discloses the approval of a stock incentive plan, which is a compensatory arrangement rather than a change in management personnel.
Why it matters: Total revenue fell 29.4% in Q2 as hardware shipments dropped. A return to growth would show the decline is easing.
Supportive ifQ3 total revenue is higher than Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue is lower than Q3 2025, with monitoring growth too weak to offset lower hardware sales.
Why it matters: Monitoring revenue grew 8.0% in Q2 and 11.7% in Q1. More growth would show the recurring base is still expanding.
Supportive ifIn Q3 results, monitoring revenue is up more than 8% year over year.
Worry ifIn Q3 results, monitoring revenue is flat or down year over year.
Why it matters: OMNI360 is Acorns new tower-site product. A paid customer would show that the launch is turning into sales.
Supportive ifAcorn names a customer or reports revenue from an OMNI360 contract.
Worry ifThe next earnings update reports no OMNI360 customer or revenue.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$179 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $564 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,430 loss on $10,000 · 44.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.