Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.26-0.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACNT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-21
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 17, 2026, Ascent Industries Co. (the "Company”) entered into an Omnibus Joinder to Loan Documents with BMO Bank N.A. and the other lenders under Ascent’s credit facility (the “Credit Facility Amendment”). The Credit Facility Amendment was entered into in connection with the Company's recently announced acquisition of Midwest Graphic Sales, Inc. and Sigma Coatings, Inc. (together "Midwest"). In connection with the acquisition, the Company for…
Why it matters: The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's asset base. Its financial impact will show if the strategy is working.
Watch forQ3 2026 shows good financial results from the acquisition.
Also watch forQ3 2026 shows poor financial results from the acquisition.
Why it matters: A better Adjusted EBITDA margin shows the company is working efficiently. It also means better cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 5.7% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays below 5.7% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If integration is successful, it shows management can carry out its plans. This can help the company make more money.
Supportive ifMidwest Graphic Sales adds at least $1 million in Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2026.
Worry ifMidwest Graphic Sales does not meet expectations. It adds less than $1 million in Adjusted EBITDA.
Why it matters: A rise in gross margin would show good cost control and efficient operations.
Supportive ifGross margin improves to above 21.6% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross margin declines or stays below 21.6% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The materials sector is going down. A recovery could help Ascent's performance and outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for three years.
Worry ifSector revenue growth stays negative, showing ongoing decline.
Why it matters: The acquisition is expected to enhance the asset base. Its financial impact will show how well the strategy works.
Watch forThe earnings report shows that Midwest Graphics helped increase revenue or profit.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows no effect or a negative impact from Midwest Graphics.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a change in the declining sector. It could indicate a recovery for the company.
Supportive ifCompany reports positive revenue growth in the next earnings release.
Worry ifThe company will report more drops in revenue in the next earnings release.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows management can make more money. It proves their optimization efforts work.
Supportive ifGross profit improvement of at least $3 million by Q4 2026.
Worry ifGross profit improvement falls short of $3 million by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Ongoing buybacks show confidence in the company's value. They also support the share price.
Supportive ifCompany repurchases at least 200,000 shares in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo share repurchases occur in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: High growth means strong market demand and good execution. It shows Ascent can seize market chances.
Supportive ifNet sales growth exceeds 30% year over year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet sales growth falls below 20% year over year in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $235 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,183 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.