Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.59-1.13%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ACNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -16.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ACNT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-21
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 17, 2026, Ascent Industries Co. (the "Company”) entered into an Omnibus Joinder to Loan Documents with BMO Bank N.A. and the other lenders under Ascent’s credit facility (the “Credit Facility Amendment”). The Credit Facility Amendment was entered into in connection with the Company's recently announced acquisition of Midwest Graphic Sales, Inc. and Sigma Coatings, Inc. (together "Midwest"). In connection with the acquisition, the Company for…
Why it matters: Management set this goal for the end of 2026. Reaching it would show that plant changes are lifting earnings.
Supportive ifBy Q4 2026, management reports $3M–$5M in yearly gross profit gains from its work to improve operations.
Worry ifBy Q4 2026, management reports less than $3M in annualized gains, or pushes the goal past year-end.
Why it matters: Q2 sales growth included Midwest's new sales. Growth in the older business would show demand gains beyond the deal.
Supportive ifThe next results show legacy net sales above the same quarter last year.
Worry ifThe next results show legacy net sales below the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: Q2 margin rose 7.1 points from Q1, but stayed below last year's 26.1%. Another gain would show the recovery is holding.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is above 21.6% and gross profit is above Q2's $5.5M.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin falls below 21.6% or gross profit falls below Q2's $5.5M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $230 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,183 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.